Modelling: a glamorous new prospect? Don’t get excited yet.

Participants at the July 15 Bendigo information session on the Fire Operations Plan were briefed on the ‘Risk Landscapes’ project. This consists of running models of different fire scenarios and fuel reduction exercises through a computer to see how they would affect the two aims of human safety and ecological resilience.

The project uses a program called ‘Phoenix rapidfire’, and was proclaimed as the next big thing in 2011–though specific details of what it has achieved were markedly absent from Monday’s presentation.

It’s theoretically possible that if researchers put every available bit of relevant information about a particular piece of land into a computer, and ran various scenarios [about weather conditions, etc] through the program, they could simulate how damaging a bushfire would be. If they varied the information to make assumptions about how much fuel reduction had taken place in those parcels of land, they could see what effect this fuel reduction would have on a possible fire. They could use the same research approach to simulate how ecologically damaging a bushfire would be, and similarly, how much damage a fuel reduction exercise would be.

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FOBIF AGM

The Annual General Meeting of the Friends of the Box Ironbark Forests will be held at the Castlemaine Continuing Education Centre, Templeton St Castlemaine, at 7.30 pm on Monday August 12. Guest speaker Ian O’Halloran will speak on the land restoration project under way at Post Office Hill Chewton. This fascinating 22 hectare site between the Post Office and the railway line is full of surprises, and the work of the Post Office Hill Action Group is a model for groups anywhere wanting to give a little corner of the planet a better chance.

Ian O'Halloran talks to the POHAG troops at Post Office Hill: the area is of interest geologically, and for its signs of Aboriginal and gold era history, as well as for a surprising wealth of plant species.

Members wishing to stand for positions on the FOBIF committee should forward nominations signed by two members of the Friends to Box 322 Castlemaine before that date.

A section of PO Hill after the gorse groomer has been through, with new plantings in the background.

 


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Fire: how much information does the public need?

 As previewed in our July 2 Post, FOBIF members went to Bendigo on Monday night for an information session on the upcoming Fire Operations Plan. The draft plan will be made public on August 1.

Experience has taught us to expect this kind of session to be both informative and frustrating, and Monday was a good example.

Mount Alexander: habitat trees destroyed in a 'reduction burn' which was allowed to spread beyond its supposed boundaries in 2009. DEPI information on what exactly was achieved in this operation is not publicly available. Nor are DEPI assessments of other burns.

On the informative side, we were given a preview of planned burns for the next three years. We will review these in more detail when updated maps become available in August. New burns include a number of small [usually less than 15 ha] plots close to settlements. On the whole we do not oppose these operations: their safety function is usually clear, and the brutal fact is that ecological values are sacrificed to that end. We were also informed that the ‘Environment and Water’ team had reviewed 65 burns and recommended ‘mitigation measures’ [this seems to mean mainly putting in exclusion areas] in 54 of them. This last information is encouraging…but frustratingly vague, as illustrated by answers to the following questions:

Question: Is the information given to burn managers about ecological values publicly available?

Answer: No.

Question: The Code of Practice says that the Department ‘will make publicly accessible information about…how well bushfire management actions and strategies are achieving the two primary objectives for bushfire management on public land.’ [These objectives are human safety and ecological resilience.] Can we have this information about specific burns which we are concerned about?

Answer: No.

These answers are refreshingly frank. What they mean, however, is

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Fire Operations: how much information?

FOBIF and other groups have been invited to an information session in Bendigo on July 15 on the upcoming Fire Operations Plan.

We have accepted the invitation, but have asked that the meeting specifically address how past monitoring and research have influenced fire managers’ practice in management burns. This would be consistent with the Department’s Code of Practice, which stipulates that

‘The Department will aim to continually learn from and improve its practices and

acknowledges that a range of parties are interested in this…

‘The Department will make publicly accessible information about:

— the performance of its bushfire management actions, and the status of achievements of strategies and objectives

–information gained from monitoring and evaluation activities

— how well bushfire management actions and strategies are achieving the two primary objectives for bushfire management on public land.

‘Information from monitoring and evaluation will be made available in ways that

increases the capacity to interpret the information and apply it to their local

situation.’ [page 31]

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How wide should a bush track be?

FOBIF has once again questioned Parks Victoria about its track maintenance policy, after complaints from members about track works in the Fryers Flora Reserve and the Diggings Park. Complaints centred around the tonnes of blue metal put on some of the tracks, and the relentless widening of some roads.

Parks has advised us that recent works are mainly part of flood recovery works. The blue metal on the roads will be gradually packed into the surface. It’s visually not great, but may perform some useful function. More important is the fact that tracks seem to get wider every time work is done on them. This time, the work was done by contractors from Melbourne, who appear to have been given no briefing about how to handle road verges.

Near Tk: the apparently unanswerable question seems to be, how wide does a track need to be?

FOBIF has no problem with roads and tracks being maintained for important purposes, like fire management. Our problem is that over the years we have tried without success to get an answer to a very  simple question: what is the maximum width of a bush track? Given that we’ve measured some of them as wider than the Pyrenees Highway, it seems to be, Pretty Wide.

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